The Bearcats Receivers Are Inconsistent, And I Have The Numbers To Prove It
by Matt Opper on Oct 31, 2011 3:35 PM EDT
in Cincinnati Bearcats Football
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On the heels of the 2010 season there was precisely one proven commodity among the Bearcats receivers. D.J. Woods finished second in the Big East in Yards, 3rd in TD's and 4th in receptions. The common assumption heading into 2011 was that DJ would simply step become the next in the line of stellar receivers stretching back to the 2007 season and the rise of Dom Goodman.
Seven games in it is safe to say that just won't be happening this year. Woods is currently tied for 2nd in receptions with 29, 3rd in yards with 329 and tied for 2nd in TD receptions. Part of the issue is that UC is throwing the ball less, much less, 7 fewer attempts per game compared to 2010. Fewer attempts equals fewer catches available, the logic of that should be inescapable. But there is something else at work here, namely that Woods, and the receivers in general haven't been exceedingly consistent. Check out the season totals for targets, and most importantly catch percentage, after the jump.
| Player | Targets | Catches | Catch Percent |
| D.J. Woods | 56 | 29 | 52 |
| Anthony McClung | 49 | 29 | 59 |
| Kenbrell Thompkins | 44 | 30 | 68 |
| Isaiah Pead | 19 | 15 | 79 |
| Alex Chisum | 15 | 11 | 73 |
| Adrien Robinson | 6 | 5 | 83 |
| Travis Kelce | 9 | 7 | 78 |
| Shaq Washington | 6 | 3 | 50 |
| Danny Milligan | 2 | 1 | 50 |
| Orion Woodard | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| George Winn | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| Ralph Abernathy IV | 1 | 1 | 100 |
Woods and McClung are the two most targeted players, they are also the most inconsistent receivers on the team and both have had their own bouts with the drops this year, McClung in particular is doing his best Braylon Edwards impression dropping easy balls one down and making impossibly clutch catches the next. Overall the distribution of targets this season looks basically like you would expect it to. The starting trio have been targeted on 71.3 of all passing attempts.
If I would like to see one thing in the last five games of the year I would be more involvement for Alex Chisum who has been very good since the N.C. State game. He isn't flashy but he is dependable and has a knack for jump balls. The other thing I want more of is Adrien Robinson and Travis Kelce in the passing game. This year they have combined for 12 catches, 223 yards and 4 TD's which is already more than UC got from the TE position in all of 2010.
Note: If you are really that curious you can find the game by game targeting data here.
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I’m staying waiting for that breakout game where DJ woods or Thompkins goes for 100+ yards with two TDs. There has been one game where Woods did not even catch a pass and another couple where he was not even a factor (a couple catches for a few yards). That shouldn’t happen for a guy who is in his fourth year of either starting or playing a lot of minutes.
I agree with your comments about Chisum and the use of the tight ends. When the ball is thrown to Kelce and ARob good things happen.
Someone else noticed?
Thank God. DJ Woods has been at best inconsistent and at worst horrible this year. I hold my breath every time he’s back there trying to catch a punt, let alone a pass. If I have to watch one more of his unnecessary spins or pissy looks after dropping a pass I’m going to puke.
What a waste. The young man has a ton of talent, but due to his lack of humility/attitude it has never been developed like it could have been.
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